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The No True Gothsman Fallacy

  • Oct. 29th, 2009 at 9:20 AM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
Not for the first time, I reflect that laundry day would be significantly less complicated (and even a little cheaper?) if I just gave up on the single-digit percentage of white clothing I still own.

So I'm 25. How appalling.

My birthday weekend was actually pretty relaxing and I've bounced back from it with some new motivation, for all that I didn't throw my own party this time around. (mostly because I couldn't be arsed to manuever it around both my schoolwork and all the Halloween festivities that are so much more common now that we're all adults and use this week as an excuse for glorious and welcome debauchery). Went to [info]rumplefurskin and [info]amaena's Halloween party Saturday (and dragged [info]gray_dorian along on a hunch), at which I learned several things:
  • You really can't eat just one when [info]amaena is involved. Whatever it is, the answer is no.
  • Masks are far better on the outside looking in, especially where there's so much food and drink to be found.
  • IRC and Livejournal are still the kings. Now get off my lawn.
  • It has, in fact, been too long since I was at the right sort of party.

Thanks for the invite to a good one.

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The Burning Questions Of Our Decadent Times

  • Oct. 18th, 2009 at 9:47 AM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
Exactly what to use as headgear for my Halloween costume, a mask I already have or some sort of circlet I was thinking of ordering (probably too late now, lucky I've already decided!)

Whether to buy Dragon Age - wait, whether to buy it for my aging PC or my inferior-for-the-purpose 360 - wait, whether to buy a physical or digital copy of a twenty-bloody-gigabyte game - wait, whether to buy  the collector's edition with its bonus DLC and silly preorder items - wait, which character class to play first once I finally get the game downloaded. Sigh.

What to do for my birthday next weekend (the day itself is a Monday, which I actually have off but I doubt many others do - the Saturday has [info]rumplefurskin's Halloween party and I think I have a board game night Sunday - though our group's lost a player, boo). I kind miss being younger and having these things be the easiest thing in the world to plan, but now everybody has lives, Halloween parties, or lives multiple time zones away. I suppose I'll just see who's free Sunday or Monday night - not exactly "the BIG 2-5", but I'm sure fun will be had - this is one of the advantages of growing older and deeper in sin. In that vein, though, happy early birthdays to [info]andur (tomorrow) and [info]evilgetyours (next Saturday). I hope you all have a blast!

On the bright side, at least I got one (well half of one) of my perennial birthday plans out of the way: finally got to see Rocky Horror, thanks to [info]gray_dorian bringing her DVD over. Wasn't exactly the theatre full of rich weirdos (debatably the first, definitely the second) that I'd originally wanted to see it at, but there are, I'm sure you'll all agree, advantages to this. Definitely a hilarious watch, though! And there'll always be chances in future for the full theatre experience. :)

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poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
Lindsay Beyerstein puts out the best defense I've seen of the Nobel Committee's choice here

Money quote: "Most commentators implicitly assume Obama won just for what he's done as president or what he promises to do in office. In fact, Obama earned the prize for waging a successful campaign to unseat a ruling party that rejected the rule of law at home and abroad.

[...]

If the 2008 election happened in Africa or the Middle East it would seem obvious that an opposition leader who restored the rule of law and set about reintegrating his country into the family of nations would be racking up points towards a Nobel Peace Prize before he even took the oath of office
."

Clearly Obama hasn't lived up to all of his promise, both the exaggerated image born out of last November's euphoria, and even the more restrained hopes that killjoys like me held (though at the time I said that he would be quite thoroughly hamstrung by America's thoroughly absurd poltical system and his desire to work within it rather than twist it into a pretzel like his predecessor).

It'll be difficult for many people with a more focused domestic (or near periphery) viewpoint to feel that he deserves this sort of accolade - and of course, given the sheer insanity of modern US political discourse, this may make things worse for him domestically. But, like I said in my initial post on the matter, at least he's not Kissinger - this is "unusual", not "absurd", and a preliminary effect on the biggest stage in the world might well mean more than something more solid on a lower level.

Call me an idealist, but I don't think the Nobel Committee should really consider political optics in making their choices.

Hopefully this is the last thing I end up saying on the matter - though at least it's marginally less banal than "Stephen Harper enjoys music, surely he isn't actually a Cylon" or "Governor General makes mild protocol faux-pas, gives Monarchist League their yearly dose of relevance", two other matters that've set Ottawa atwitter in the past week.

No (meaningful) news is good news, right? RIGHT? (wrong.)
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
It might be a bad sign that my reflex reaction when I heard that Barack Obama had won the Nobel Peace Prize was "But he hasn't done anything yet!" At least I used less profanity than Rumor, though. :P

Yes, walking back the character of American foreign policy rhetoric is a nice start, but even if the committee hadn't explicitly said as much, it's clear that the award is more for what he represents, and what potential exists, than for what he's actually done. At least he's not another Kissinger, though. That was an absurd award, this is merely odd.

And of course, he reacted with his usual humility. Along with all the White House aides wondering if it was April 1st instead of October 9th. No such luck - the weather would be better.
severus snape, fear the stupid
Riddle me this: does a huge Flash ad, covering the content you actually loaded the web page to see, whose close button doesn't work, make you more, or less, likely to buy a product?

Assuming I have any readers left at all, I'd be curious at what points big flashy, hyper-obtrusive web ads ever actually worked? They really seem counterproductive to me.

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poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs

I feel strange today. Like school starting has flipped some sort of switch labeled "okay, summer's over, be productive now."

I suppose this past few months is the last time I'll really have that degree of luxury, since I graduate this year and I am, really this time no fooling, done with school afterwards. Given that, I kind of wish I'd done more with the time.

Still, this feeling is a good sign, and I am certainly looking forward to this year, whether it's my class schedule or the internship I'm going to be doing with CIPPIC. Let's hope it all lasts.

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Skepticism Backfire

  • Jul. 28th, 2009 at 8:25 PM
mystique of the scorpion, scorpio
It's kind of embarassing to write this entry, to be honest, and I don't know why.

I think it was several months ago, from [info]spaz_own_joo's girlfriend Katie (who has a LJ somewhere that I am unaware of and so cannot credit her properly) that I first heard about what John Kovalic has very amusingly called Gaimanda - the geek culture power couple made up from the man who's basically my literary and cultural idol, and a talented, eccentric musician and all-around-impressive woman.  I think (as I cannot be arsed to dig up that particular Facebook status update) she said something like "Neil Gaiman and Amanda Palmer are totally fucking, and it is awesome." And I cocked my head and went "yes, that would be cool. In fact, it would be awesome beyond words for them to get together, and therefore too awesome to actually be true as opposed to some fan's demented RPS fantasy." And so I shrugged and moved on in my typical celebrity-gossip ignorance.

And this is how I am, now that I've bothered to verify this, likely the last person on the entire fucking Internet to get in my requisite gushing over this development. I will be spending fourteen hours on a plane tomorrow expiating my shame, but at least now I can admit it and move on. (actually, I'll be spending fourteen hours on a plane tomorrow flying out to Alberta for a week-ish long trip. Why will this flight take fourteen hours? Well, that story deserves its very own post! :P)
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs

Today's Globe and Mail has a fairly evenhanded editorial about last week's Privacy Commissioner's report on Facebook. It takes the tack that not all the responsibility for Facebook's privacy issues lies with the site - plenty lies with the users who place information on the site, occasionally against what could be called better judgment - but I hesitate to call it "blaming the victim" because it reserves plenty of blame for the site as well. Further, it raises some concerns that I shared over how any hypothetical Federal Court judgment would be enforced - while the public reaction to Facebook withdrawing/being banned from Canada rather than paying a punitive fine would be hilarious to observe, I can't see it being very productive. But I digress!

Nonetheless, the idea raised at the end that "the fact that the purpose of a social-networking site is to facilitate social networking." should justify things like "the guy behind [the latest popular quiz] know[ing] their phone numbers or seeing their stag party photos" lends too little nuance to the idea of social networking. Yes, social networking is about sharing personal information, but it is most emphatically not about sharing that information indiscriminately, whether we're talking about doing it online or in person, and whether we're talking about the amount one shares or the directions one shares it in.

It is an entirely reasonable position to expect to have some fine-grained control over that sharing, even on Facebook - indeed, the article calls for as much when it says that users should be careful what they share, while seemingly ignoring the fact that making a decision on what is safe to share requires that one have control over, or at least be informed of, who one will be sharing it with.  (for that matter, why should app authors know more than they need to do their "jobs"?)

Online social networking is a useful tool despite the potential for abuse by providers, and the lesson to take from the current debate should not be "don't talk to strangers" (as suggested in one hilarious comment I read on the site before better judgment reasserted itself) so much as "be careful who you tell things to". We aren't six anymore, and strangers are often enough just friends we haven't met. Some of us are more open than others, and weigh risk and reward differently in this context. 

What is needed from any networking provider is the resources to make those decisions properly, and the means to enforce them, and this is rightly what the Privacy Commissioner has demanded from Facebook.

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Amazon Must Surely Be Out Of Feet By Now

  • Jul. 18th, 2009 at 3:37 PM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
So I'm sure you've all heard about the latest Amazon flap: Kindle copies of 1984 and Animal Farm that shouldn't have been sold (the seller didn't have the rights) were autodeleted from users' devices. It's an anecdote on a silver platter for every DRM opponent from here until the end of time (especially the poor sap who lost all his annotations for his summer project on 1984) and an example of the difference between sale-as-object and sale-as-license, both from the customer's perspective and from Amazon's. (for example, the license agreement Amazon uses for its book sales, that I've seen people trying to dissect to find a breach of contract, is made irrelevant by the fact that Amazon didn't have the license to distribute those ebooks in the first place, so the sublicense they granted is invalid). 

I am, predictably, not the biggest fan of sale-as-license, but when you're trying to sell something that isn't subject to scarcity because it can be infinitely and costlessly copied, there are a limited number of ways to do so. All the information industries have to face that their main source of revenue in a post-scarcity age isn't information, but experience. For music, this means the revenue stream comes from concerts, merchandise, and other ancillaries. For games, this means the new product is online multiplayer services - whether by subscription, or free-but-only-available-for-legit-purchases. For ebooks? This still needs to be figured out. It may well be that the experience is the reason that the physical book will remain predominant, or that the convenience of ebook readers themselves will present a different experience that some find worth paying for.

All in all, I don't think Amazon's servers run on spite and Internet outrage. The move makes a certain sense from a legal standpoint - redress as far as possible the damages to the legitimate publisher so that Amazon doesn't get sued, or at least doesn't lose very big when they do get sued - but, as seems usual for them these days, was communicated very badly. There are still customer-service lessons to learn there, evidently, and patience must surely be wearing thin.

It's worth noting that the copyright in the US on 1984 and Orwell's works in general (Orwell, lest we forget, died nearly sixty years ago), still has not expired, and, according to the very last paragraph of this NYT article (the only place I saw this mentioned), will not do so for another thirty-plus years. (assuming that yet another copyright extension act isn't passed in the meantime.) The unavailability of the Kindle outside the States has much to do with this point being missed, I suspect, and I'm sure it's just a matter of time before this was done with a book that was still reasonably within copyright, but we cannot neglect that the situation is a chain of outrages: overzealous digital enforcement of a broken law.

Long Time, No Blog

  • Jul. 11th, 2009 at 4:19 AM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs

My summers are always bad times for the blog. Mostly because I have nothing to write about - school's out, work is either nonexistent or best not spoken of (learned that lesson, thank you), and my personal life has tended towards the quiet in the past, barring certain memorable moments.

This year is a "work: mostly nonexistent" year, and my personal life is...well, those of you I expect to care already know, but suffice to say that even if you call it "interesting", it's not been interesting in the sense that makes for anything I feel comfortable writing about for a public audience. And Canadian parliamentary politics? Frankly,  they're embarassing at this point and I can count the participants that actually deserve any more exposure than they already get on one hand, two at most.

With the special bonus this year that all the pithy little things I might think about posting about on the spur of the moment end up as Facebook statuses, Twitter updates or both - I've always tended to save LJ for more drawn out ramblings, but what happens when those dry up? Well, I look silly, yes, but besides that.

I'll try and update you all, though, clear my backlog and attempt to make yet another start. (how many is this now?)

Ask me about law school and my impending entry into the real world )

Aside from that....well, Samantha and the puppy have returned from whence they came, so it's just me and an all-growed-up Penelope in the apartment right now. I've been trying, with a surprising amount of success (I actually get out more than my sister these days, which she recounts with chagrin) to be more social and get out of the house more - though I'm still kind of out of the social loop at law school (for some reason that I again can't identify), I'm meeting some pretty cool non-law acquaintances, and generally having some good times. Even made it to Bluesfest last night (well, Thursday night, more accurately) to see a couple of shows with Natasha - she's been out of town a lot the last few months, and it was good to catch up with her, and even better to see Metric live.

My sister is finally learning to drive, and I'm making an attempt at studying for the learner's exam as well - keeping in mind that this is all subject to a vision test which, for me, is actually in doubt. :) Also, at her...encouragement, I've replaced my trusty cane on a trial basis with a pair of forearm crutches. I can has balance? Perhaps! In other "new toy" news - I finally got myself a smartphone, but, me being me, I went for a Google Android-based phone (specifically, the HTC Magic - I kind of wanted to wait for the Hero, but I couldn't trust that a non-terrible Rogers data plan would be available outside the wake of the iPhone 3GS release.) So far, I'm loving it - like my sister says about her Blackberry, it's like having the world at your fingertips - and I love the potential for dramatic customisability. Like I was saying to Nathan, it's like the iPhone platform is the Mac and Android is the PC of smartphones. (and what's Blackberry in this masterful analogy? Hush.)

I think we're more or less caught up at this point, barring a bit (okay, a lot) of glossing over things, and it's getting crazy late out here yet again, so I think I shall head to bed. Adios, my slowly withering audience. :P

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Still Not Homesick

  • Jun. 2nd, 2009 at 10:16 AM
letters from god, religion

I know that not all of you see my posted links on Facebook (and/or Twitter now) - I tend to post my "links without comment" or my "links with one-line snark" over there because it seems more appropriate, whereas I try and go into more depth in here (the emphasis, I will admit before anyone gets on my case for infrequent posting, is on 'try').

As it happens, my initial reaction to Alberta's Bill 44 and its controversial provision allowing for parents to pull their children out of class discussions where "religion or sexuality" are scheduled to be brought up was "link with one-line snark", so it went on Facebook after all, but over time I've done a lot of thinking about why it irritates me so much (now if only I'd written this before the bill passed, but really it was always going to pass regardless of what I said - thus the title of this entry. No, Tommy, I'm not moving back home, except possibly at the head of a Passover-esque horde of destroying angels. I value my blood pressure too much.)

I have, really, two issues with that provision of Bill 44 - the first is its provenance, seemingly as a quid pro quo to get certain elements of the Alberta government onside with giving human rights code protection to Those Icky Gays (heaven forbid we fulfil our Charter obligations, eh?), and subsequently attached like a lamprey onto a law in which it has no reasonable place. To say nothing of the fact that, at least when I was in grade school, sex ed already required parental permission slips, and I don't recall ever learning about gay people in class (to be honest, I don't know where I did at all, though, so it may well have been in school after all!) The law seemed utterly unnecessary and meant more as a backdoor attack on teaching evolution in school than anything else - the competing interpretations from Premier Stelmach and Culture Minister Blackett on whether evolution would fall under "religion" didn't help, but I suppose in the end that would have been a matter for the courts or regulations to decide.

The second objection didn't fully crystallise until I heard on the morning CBC news a week or so ago about the controversy in Winnipeg regarding Child and Family Services taking away the daughter of a woman who'd held some rather odious white-supremacist views and was passing them on to the child. Apparently the child had drawn a swastika on her arm to go to school, and had been quoted as saying that "Black people don’t belong. What people don’t understand is that black people should die." - but for all that, I was conflicted about whether the government had taken the right steps in moving to her and her brother.  Surely people shouldn't be denied the right to procreate or raise children based solely on the views they hold (to do so would be to truly institute the idea of thoughtcrime), and raising children necessarily entails some transfer of worldviews and thought patterns from parent to child.  The state has no real place in restraining this transfer barring actual abuse, as much as elitists (like me, I'll admit!) despair at the thought of certain people reproducing at all and fantasize about taking warning labels off everything and letting Darwin have his day.

What parents, on the other hand, must understand is that they are never going to be the only source that their child draws influence from, unless they simply refuse to socialise them at all - and furthermore, that hiding the very existence of competing religions, of alternate sexual orientations and theories of the family, of the concept of the Big Bang and evolution, of other worldviews than their own and especially of facts and people that contradict their worldviews, is not a benefit to their children. How are they to function in a world that they are largely ignorant of? What will they do when they confront things you can't hide them from anymore? What is the value, in the end, of a faith that is not examined, is not doubted, is not tested?

Why are some parents so afraid of letting their children grow into anything more than miniature versions of themselves?

It Is To Laugh

  • May. 29th, 2009 at 6:25 PM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
Ayria playing with VNV Nation? Maybe this time I'll make it out to a Montreal show. (on a Wednesday night, though, goddamnit, but at least it's July instead of October! Maybe if I'm still unemployed I'll look into what tricks I'd need to pull.)

Oh, yeah, forgot, haven't written an entry here for a month, oops! Got a bit ahead of myself.

No, my finals didn't kill me, and I even did decently well - once again, more Cs than I would have liked, but an A and a B+ balance them out relatively nicely. Once again, no summer job, to which I go bleh, but since I can technically afford not to work this summer, I'm holding out for a position that's actually beneficial to my resume and won't bore me to tears, with actual compensation as more of a welcome bonus than a requirement, and in the meantime I'm writing summaries for Global IP Watch (this UO alumnus' new project that I signed up to help), getting networked by my mother because I am so hilariously bad at it (at least, as it's practiced by this profession and in this city), and slowly unwinding from school and waiting for the course guide for next year to come out.

Samantha is back, as well, though I suspect that I've already told those of you that are likely to care anyway, so nyah. So we took Penelope back from Sam's aunt (sans ovaries - yay - and claws - boo) and she is happily ruling over all she surveys once again - especially the puppy.

Yes, I have a puppy.

No, stop staring at the sky, there aren't any meteors coming.

Really, it's more "Samantha has a puppy, and I've just been asked to try not to poison it deliberately accidentally." I'm not a dog person (I like my pets more independent and ideally less slobbery), and despite how cute Loki is (he's a Papillon, of all breeds, and I do like the look of them), I don't see that changing anytime soon, but I figured it was worth a try. I suspect that'll be my epitaph someday. "I figured it was worth a try." But there aren't many irrational personal dislikes that I'm not willing to test out at least once, and I suspect that's how she got me to agree in the end.
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs

So I've bought one digital album today (Metric's Fantasies), and BitTorrented one (Lacuna Coil's Shallow Life). I fully intended to buy both - they're both by bands I admire and want to support (I've actually seen LC live, and would have seen Metric if they hadn't shown up during exam season. At least they'll be back sooner than Paradise Lost! - oh, I kill myself.)

The difference? I could buy Fantasies, because Metric's webstore sells to Canada, whereas Shallow Life was only being sold digitally on iTunes (which does sell to Canada, and apparently recently removed its DRM, but still requires me to use its software and the AAC format, neither of which play nice with my non-iPod MP3 player), and Rhapsody and Amazon (which don't sell to Canada, despite the latter's intriguing promise a year ago.).

Given that Metric didn't work with a label for this album, Last.fm recently went subscriber-only here, and Pandora continues to be not fully available here either, the right target of blame is probably the main common factor:  negotiating distribution licenses with Canada's branch of the RIAA (so I've changed this entry's title from "Amazon Fail, Part Two", but I'd still like to know how the original ended up - were any of you paying attention and can enlighten me? Was there an actual explanation or an embarassing climbdown? Or both? Are we supposed to be boycotting Amazon right now?) - but, seriously, here it is, my thoughts on yaoi music marketing.

I'm not a die-hard "music/information wants to be free!" type - I'm happy to compensate artists because, frankly, the world needs artists and the days of noble patrons are over and done. But the record labels are an artifact of an age where wide-scale distribution needed middlemen between media and their consumers in a way that the Internet has largely made obsolete (which is the same reason that newspapers and broadcast TV are having tough times of late, but at least the newspapers haven't tried to criminalise millions to preserve their failing business models, and the broadcast networks are actually doing a decent job with Hulu, CTV Digital, and the like - even if the split between Comedy Central and The Comedy Network's websites enrages me on a daily basis) and, if they're not prepared to adapt, then they need to get out of the way, and government needs to grow a backbone and stop enabling them.

Why exactly should I pay twice as much for a CD that I will use precisely once - to rip it to my PC/Zen - and then have it sit in a drawer? What is the rationale behind region control on intangible goods? Why, why, why are you people insisting on making it so much of a pain for me to actually give you money?

A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats

  • Apr. 16th, 2009 at 3:59 PM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
Gay Marriage Legislation Introduced In New York

Well, I know - or remember, perhaps more accurately - plenty of faces that will be smiling if this bill gets through, as the legislative numbers and the Governor's support suggest that it can, so to them I say - good luck, it's about time, and - as ever - be as happy as you deserve.

There isn't much more to say on this front, really, than cheerleading. The arguments are there for all to see, the examples are there for all to see, the skies haven't fallen nor the rivers turned to blood up here where it's legal, and, as this Iowa state senator notes at the beginning of his recorded remarks - the generation gap works in our favour.

All that's left is the kicking and screaming.

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Okay, Twitterati...

  • Apr. 15th, 2009 at 3:03 PM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
I know there are some of you on my friends list on LJ or Facebook, hiding like snakes in the grass. Sell me on Twitter (without mentioning "stalk celebrities", plzkthx) in 140 characters one comment or less. Alternatively, tell me why it's utterly useless. I am an equal-opportunity troll solicitor of comment!

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Apropos Of Nothing

  • Apr. 12th, 2009 at 4:11 PM
poet, warrior, fantasy, elric, rpgs
So, after Friday night's birthday party full of lesbians and counterculture types, I spent Saturday in a Catholic church. I found the juxtaposition amusing, otherwise I probably wouldn't have mentioned the former - it was a cool time and it was great to see Rhea and Renee, Emily and Melody again, but there really wasn't that much more to be said there.

"But!", some of you might ask, "what were you doing in a church?" (others of you might add "and why aren't you a pile of ash now?", but I've made that joke too many times recently anyway!)

Long story short: my cousin is getting married this fall and, in an event that I'm assuming is simply correlated to instead of caused by this, her fiance was baptised and confirmed yesterday during the Easter Vigil service, and we went out to be all supportive-audience for the pair of them. They both looked delighted, and I'm glad for that (especially since it means that the thoughts it inspired were only abstract instead of actually questioning anyone's sincerity in particular.)

I haven't been to a Catholic service in a long time, and St. Patrick's Basilica is a completely different beast from the churches I used to attend back home - though I'll admit it's mostly due to the architecture and decor, which I can only call "awesome" in the purest sense of the word.  The sheer ceremony and history of the Catholic liturgy has always held this odd mix of intimidation and inspiration for me, whatever my opinion of the underlying assumptions. After the service, we went to dinner and a reception at the home of a friend of my cousin's, complete with the parish priests and various other well-wishers. Complete with wine, though I didn't drink nearly enough to have expected the effects on my balance that I actually got - this concerns me! I am clearly out of practice.

The whole event got me to thinking- though it was as much this as my sister gushing over how romantic it was, and similarly that a friend of hers was converting to Judaism for her fiance - or was it the other way around? I don't remember anymore, but it doesn't change the point of how uneasy I am about the idea of marriage-bed religious conversions in the abstract. Whether it's as the result of an ultimatum or simple peer pressure, I remain unsure that it's usually something to celebrate, that it's usually something that would have happened anyway through the simple matter of similarly-frequent exposure to adherents of Religion X? Do any of the rest of you have any ideas about when it really is romantic, or laudable, to say "This aspect of my identity that I was entirely happy with before I met you is going to be sacrificed on your altar )no pun intended - okay, fine, I'm lying) because I love you JUST THAT MUCH"?

And yes, Julia, this is the alcohol and incense story. I told you it wasn't fun - I could definitely use a better one. :P

The Dungeon Master's Lament

  • Apr. 11th, 2009 at 2:17 AM
geekery, math

The problem with running the game you want to be playing in is that clubbing the slower players upside the head with hints is called "railroading" instead of "being a team player". I may just need to improve at dropping breadcrumbs for them, but argh, when they ignore a perfectly good hint about where the assassins that came after a PC have been seen (after the sorceress set the lot on fire and ran them off) to chase after a red herring instead, I start to get all self-doubting.

(and yes, I'm talking about my D&D game after coming back from a perfectly good party - who, exactly, did you think you were reading about again? :P)

I suppose I do need to catch some of you up, but I'm going to bed now instead. You can wait. Nyah.

One Step Forward, Two Steps Back

  • Apr. 10th, 2009 at 3:37 PM
canadian world domination

(This is more inside-the-Queensway (though, ironically, I live about 100m outside the Queensway) stuff that nobody outside Ottawa likely cares about. For that matter, nobody at all probably should care about it, but such is life!)

I've been following, with much schadenfreude, the circular firing squad that the US Republican party has turned into in the aftermath of the 2008 election, and the tug of war between hewing to the 30% dittohead far-right monster that they created (oh, the delicious irony), and reaching out to the mushy middle that might get them re-elected at some point before everyone who remembers most of the previous decade has died or succumbed to a mysterious strain of contagious amnesia.

The CPC has had a similar, though less dramatic, rift in it (between old Reformers and old Tories) for the entirety of its existence that people like...say, me...are quite surprised to have seen successfully papered over for this long. Power imposes a certain discipline and tends to do unfortunate things to principles, though. So I had an idea of what Michael Ignatieff was trying to do by calling attention to the recent controversy over Brian Mulroney's CPC membership and the treatment of the former PM by Harper and the CPC leadership - the same thing that the Obama White House was doing in March by pointing and laughing at Republicans having to apologise for diffidently pointing out that Rush Limbaugh might be a little bit divisive.

One small problem: pointing out your opponent's schizophrenic relationship with a polarising public figure is only helpful in two broad situations. 

  1. When the cracks in the other party are so unstable that one good kick would break them apart - and therefore, you can gain politically by splintering the opposition. This might well be true with the federal Conservatives, but not noticably worse than it has been for years. I think that there are only two kicks that would be good enough - Harper leaving the leadership for some reason, or possibly losing an election (I say possibly because frankly, the CPC have always seemed more comfortable in Opposition. Shades of Reform there- and, to be evenhanded about it, segments of the NDP: it's easier to be principled when you don't actually have to make any decisions.)

  2. Or, when you're on the right side of public opinion regarding the polarising figure, and can thereby gain electorally by tarring your opponent with guilt by association. To the extent that anyone cares about Brian Mulroney today (as opposed to the 10% approval rating he had when he left office, and what it did to poor sacrificial Kim Campbell, whom, in an amusing aside, my nine-year-old self was looking forward to having as a first female prime minister), it's difficult to argue that more voters think well of him than not. I don't expect a huge backfire on Ignatieff for this, as much as Harper is trying to create one - again, the electorate has more important things to worry about right now.

While I agree that Harper's handling of the situation has been somewhat two-faced and arguably ungracious, behaviour of this sort from the Prime Minister is neither new, nor any more likely to hurt him politically than at any other point during his tenure.

(fake edit: while I was polishing this entry, I came upon last night's post on this "issue" by G&M blogger Robert Silver, which I generally agree with. In true blogosphere tradition, this won't stop me from posting myself.)

Democracy Simply Doesn't Work?

  • Mar. 28th, 2009 at 1:02 PM
canadian world domination
I have to echo Adam Radwanski in saying that this John Geddes column from Friday about a lecture given by the Prime Minister's former chief of staff is the most depressing thing that I, and likely you, will read today, if you have any faith in democratic governance.

My stance is closer to Churchill's: it's the worst system out there, except for all the others, and the reason is simply this - it, like so many theories that sound good, depends on a view of humanity as informed and rational that is...not always borne out by the evidence. I somewhat wish that it hadn't been Ian Brodie who'd said it (though his "insider's perspective" was extremely valuable), because it's too easy to spin as "The Conservatives are evil and cynical," when whether they're evil or not is beside the point - they're doing what it takes to win elections. Stephane Dion, or Preston Manning (for those few of you on the other side of the political spectrum who I haven't run off yet) were principled, honest men who might well have made good Prime Ministers from a governance perspective - but Jean Chretien and Stephen Harper better understood what winning elections required, so we'll never know.

If "what it takes to win elections" does not dovetail with "what it takes to govern properly", then the system is broken. The question then becomes: how is it broken, and is it salvageable? Some people on the Maclean's comment thread pointed to the FPTP system as the problem - and it is a problem because of the way it distort the choices made by voters - but that seems to me like someone who only has a hammer seeing every problem as a nail. The problem Brodie describes would remain, because the problem is not "the government we get is not the government we vote for", the problem is "people won't vote for good, evidence-based policy, and governments want to stay in power". So what lies at the root?

"Why do governments want to stay in power", doesn't really need answering. Removing the re-election incentive from politicians through enforced term limits, while admirable on its face, presents some consequences that I'm not entirely certain of - and in any case, that wasn't what I wanted to write about anyway. Maybe another time.

Why does good policy make bad politics? Brodie offers a pretty good answer: because it is difficult for the populace to understand its benefits, so they won't vote for it. I'll admit to some elitist tendencies on my part, but this isn't simply a reframing of "people are stupid". At worst it's, "people don't always think long-term, or think about consequences, especially in unfamiliar areas."

Does this mean that an effective enough communicator could overcome the inherent bias of voters in favour of the neat, simple, and wrong answer, and show them why their ideas are better in the long run? Well.. maybe. Barack Obama's election is a positive sign in this direction, but there are cloudy linings on that silver:

  1. It took the US bleeding out lives and treasure through an unwinnable war and a worsening economic crisis to make people stop and take a deeper look at the situation. As impressed as I am by him, I still find it hard to believe that he'd have won if he hadn't had W as an act to follow.
  2. Communicators like Obama are rare birds. If it's actually necessary that a leader who's interested in governing well also be one such in order to win, then the majority of leaders we actually get will still be partisan hacks instead, because the system rewards partisan hackery, barring a few outliers

I just don't see a sea change as having already happened, and I'm concerned about what happens when the rough waters we're in pass (assuming, for the moment, that they will.) Will we give in to our worse natures and go back to the same old "leaders"?

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Dallan Lantagil, Invictus

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